Quite. China's rise – it prefers the term “development” – promises to be perhaps the greatest event of our time. A prosperous China would immeasurably improve the lives of more than a billion people.
But the history of great nations rising is not a happy one. China's experience with Japan, another neighbour with global pretensions, showed that all too clearly. China's recent history suggests it is more interested in maintaining the borders established during the 1644-1911 Qing dynasty than in expanding further. But Beijing's neighbours are, not unreasonably, nervous about the military clout of an ambitious one-party state.
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